Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.139941 0.170916 0.204508 0.243349 0.286730 0.333417 0.387184
2025-03-09 0.095707 0.135655 0.182915 0.241705 0.311672 0.391165 0.487198
2025-03-16 0.062636 0.104784 0.159443 0.232433 0.324441 0.433927 0.571438
2025-03-23 0.046741 0.091374 0.154183 0.243099 0.360282 0.504574 0.690877
2025-03-30 0.031977 0.075173 0.141774 0.241938 0.379845 0.555216 0.787441
2025-04-06 0.021879 0.062832 0.132116 0.242425 0.400349 0.606827 0.886090
2025-04-13 0.015629 0.054897 0.127386 0.248688 0.428104 0.668004 0.997939
2025-04-20 0.011358 0.049080 0.124791 0.257276 0.458820 0.733435 1.116356
2025-04-27 0.008022 0.043678 0.121716 0.264330 0.487070 0.795842 1.231766
2025-05-04 0.004918 0.036692 0.114111 0.262878 0.502142 0.840095 1.323596
2025-05-11 0.003173 0.032417 0.110852 0.268017 0.526817 0.897793 1.434028
2025-05-18 0.001651 0.026893 0.103546 0.265094 0.538499 0.937042 1.519819
2025-05-25 0.000506 0.019951 0.091048 0.251552 0.533054 0.952223 1.574058
2025-06-01 0.000184 0.017142 0.087926 0.255074 0.554855 1.007098 1.683855
2025-06-08 0.000016 0.013189 0.080167 0.248467 0.559414 1.036522 1.758510
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.012495 0.082004 0.261422 0.597065 1.115677 1.904057
2025-06-22 NaN 0.010229 0.077835 0.261268 0.612224 1.161290 2.002712
2025-06-29 NaN 0.008445 0.074498 0.262404 0.629412 1.210074 2.106343
2025-07-06 NaN 0.007473 0.073858 0.269371 0.656897 1.274885 2.233569
2025-07-13 NaN 0.006816 0.074253 0.278639 0.688605 1.346528 2.371250
2025-07-20 NaN 0.006081 0.073958 0.286202 0.717378 1.413991 2.503547
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004783 0.070078 0.284750 0.729626 1.455849 2.599078
2025-08-03 NaN 0.004118 0.069096 0.290210 0.754576 1.517817 2.724417